Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 75.927295 85.252878 94.814944 105.321657 116.511731 128.044635 140.800413
2025-01-05 62.774666 76.288987 90.779328 107.346786 125.644186 145.122798 167.315742
2025-01-12 53.092501 68.677904 85.972397 106.330509 129.395763 154.494842 183.653595
2025-01-19 44.775573 61.512005 80.694131 103.878604 130.741034 160.524493 195.690777
2025-01-26 41.382478 59.620636 81.054270 107.478250 138.598780 173.567528 215.327753
2025-02-02 38.062118 57.426425 80.733441 109.999580 144.982449 184.761972 232.743317
2025-02-09 33.501603 53.252676 77.663776 108.930174 146.894236 190.600720 243.859607
2025-02-16 29.539977 49.490942 74.803805 107.848683 148.567395 195.983652 254.303126
2025-02-23 26.906748 47.257808 73.681287 108.744320 152.488285 203.911642 267.643135
2025-03-02 24.172695 44.647971 71.883482 108.632425 155.052848 210.135745 278.913492
2025-03-09 22.028543 42.685748 70.791688 109.297113 158.481064 217.328662 291.288597
2025-03-16 19.449552 39.864782 68.372506 108.100397 159.471767 221.492338 299.989881
2025-03-23 17.976165 38.615841 68.057798 109.651951 163.958344 229.983243 314.003181
2025-03-30 16.766592 37.675839 68.107617 111.645694 168.991857 239.153945 328.872639
2025-04-06 14.777789 35.303792 65.989195 110.617320 170.065684 243.384776 337.714565
2025-04-13 12.589475 32.370675 62.885565 108.103178 169.100128 244.996682 343.296048
2025-04-20 12.207904 32.510236 64.292122 111.791421 176.230979 256.727818 361.294009
2025-04-27 11.580994 32.154367 64.919530 114.373862 181.902466 266.636743 377.075922
2025-05-04 10.147336 30.180657 62.985573 113.278591 182.651536 270.305416 385.138557
2025-05-11 8.851837 28.312430 61.104849 112.170833 183.316944 273.821005 392.979586
2025-05-18 8.084421 27.394477 60.663424 113.088229 186.673949 280.750606 405.066704
2025-05-25 7.187432 26.102104 59.548819 112.973620 188.598227 285.825578 414.830472
2025-06-01 6.509962 25.191254 59.002744 113.654418 191.580886 292.249965 426.286173